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e$ports: If you cannot play, you $hould pay attention

Maybe you have never heard of eSports.  Maybe you do not care to know. Simply, it may not be of interest you. Here is the thing though, eSports became relevant to larger society when the industry began to bring in substantial revenues and obtain partnerships and sponsorships from major recognized brands. 

 

First, what is eSports? eSports is a competition between players in a video game. The twist is that what was formerly done from home is now being down in large, sold-out stadiums in Las Vegas, the Staples Center in Los Angeles and in underground bars in London. eSports teams are now owned and sponsored by former professional basketball players like Rick Fox, companies like Coca-Cola, professional sports leagues and individual teams in those leagues. Prize money and sponsorship dollars are through the roof. There has even been talk of unionizing the players and instituting a drug policy because of the overuse of the drug Adderall. 

Second, the question of whether eSports is a “sport” is immaterial. Once the sport began approaching $1 billion in annual revenues, the naysayers have taken a backseat and have begun investing. When an investment is providing a substantial return, you ask where the investment is going, not what the dictionary definition says. 

Third, talent agents and lawyers stand to profit from eSports. Agents and agencies representing the players and teams securing endorsements, while taking a percentage of winnings, endorsements, and other sources of income. Lawyers are needed to form the businesses, create tax savings and protections through corporations, draft contracts, review contracts and represent clientele for their needs. 

The future is now and with universities like the University of California, Irvine creating an entire eSports imitative, live streaming deals with Amazon Prime® and the creation of Twitch TV, eSports is beginning to dominate the entertainment, media and sports landscape. The idea is simple: to make a profit you must meet your customers where they are at and provide what they want. The customer is always right means the customer should determine the services provided, not what the service provider needs. Is it any surprise that as mobile and digital communications have exploded in growth and influence that eSports has with it? eSports simply met customers where they were at, playing video games and turning that into a profit. 

In the end, not everyone can be a superstar athlete. Only 1% of humans have those skills at the professional level. However, being unable to hit a 98-mph fastball, shoot a jump shot, or consistently land on the fairway and the greens should not prevent someone from finding a way to compete and making a living while doing what they love. This author does not play video games or compete in eSports, but he does pay attention and you should, too. 

Player Personalities Mirror the Cities Where They Play

Lebron James signs with LA Lakers / (Clutch Sports)

Relationships, the idea is to be around people we like and admire.  To be around people and an environment that is conducive to our personality, strengthens our attributes, and forces us to grow in positive ways.  Until now, maybe the thought that the places professional athletes play does not necessarily equate to being a mirror image of the cities where the professional team is located.

 

It is notable, and maybe somewhat obvious in non-sports settings, that relationships fail when two people do not find compatibility.  In the sports context, think about your favorite team and a player that was acquired through free agency or a trade and how that specific person did or did not “make it” in that particular city/team.  It happens all time and some would argue we can be and are generally a product of our environment.  We can always outperform expectations and environments pursuing the American Dream, but famously experts have argued that New England Patriots quarterback Tom Brady was that much greater because he was in a positive environment with head coach Bill Belichick and owner Robert Kraft.

In a preview of the 2018 World Series as perceived favorites among Las Vegas betting houses, let us sample two major league baseball teams, one on the East Coast and one on West Coast.  When looking at the Los Angeles Dodgers in Los Angeles, California, and the New York Yankees in the Bronx borough of New York City, we can see some fascinating traits.  Never before have the Dodgers had the Bronx Bombers style of player.  Never before have the Yankees had a steady diet of Cy Young-caliber pitchers each year.  This is not to say it should not happen, but the Dodgers have never had an Aaron Judge type of player.  On the other hand, the Yankees have never had a Clayton Kershaw type of player.  Part of this comes down to team philosophy in drafting and acquiring players, but Babe Ruth is a Yankee, and Sandy Koufax a Dodger.  Part of it is also acquiring talent that performs well in the home ballpark with Yankee Stadium being more hitter friendly than Dodger Stadium.  The above being said, the Dodgers as a franchise lead most other franchises in pitching statistics, whereas the Yankees lead in hitting statistics.

Part of this theory comes down to the pressure on players in certain cities.  The media in New York, and the fans, have been seen as traditionally tougher and more demanding than say in Milwaukee, Wisconsin, or even in Los Angeles, where Hollywood is such a dominant force.  Some players were not built for the brightest spotlight and conceivably teams note that when acquiring players.  For example, the Los Angeles Angels in Anaheim (Orange County, California) were a great landing spot for pitcher Shohei Ohtani because he specifically wanted a smaller environment to pitch and succeed.  Having pitched in Japan’s fifth largest city in Japan (Sapporo), it made sense that for an easier transition Ohtani chose Anaheim, a city of 317,000 people within a county of 3.1 million people, where Sapporo had a population of 1.9 million people.  This compared to the 3.9 million people in Los Angeles and nearly 10.1 million people in the county and currently America’s second largest city behind New York at 8.5 million people.

The theory goes across sports as well.  In the NBA, Los Angeles had the Showtime Lakers with Magic Johnson, James Worthy, and Kareem Abdul-Jabbar.  The New York Knicks had tougher, bruising types of players in Patrick Ewing, John Starks, Anthony Mason, and Charles Oakley.  The Detroit Pistons were famously bruising types of players, compared to the finesse of the Chicago Bulls.  Sometimes the players adapt and/or adopt the personality of the team and the city.  The point here being that just because an athlete is a professional in his field does not mean the context and environment where he plays should be ignored.  It should be studied and understood, ideally before acquiring said player.  As spectators, we sometimes forget that professionals are people and make decisions life-decisions that affect their professional decisions, and vice-versa.

Going forward, our imaginations will be captivated by where the likes of Bryce Harper, LeBron James, and others sign in the 2018-2019 offseason.  Money is of course a factor, but so will be where the player feels best suited for his personality and success and those two go hand-in-hand.  We should always remember the human element in sports-decision making.

Best of the West: Predicting the 2018 National League West standings

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The 2018 Major League Baseball season is upon us.  The sun has risen on the Arizona desert and Florida coast and cities.  Soon, your favorite baseball players will ascend on their home stadiums.  

 

With the above in mind, what will the standings look like by the beginning of October 2018? Of the five teams in the division, three made the playoffs in 2017 (the Arizona Diamondbacks, the Colorado Rockies and the Los Angeles Dodgers). The Diamondbacks beat the Rockies in a one-game playoff. The Dodgers swept the Diamondbacks in three games. The Dodgers proceeded to the World Series for the first time since 1988 and lost to the Houston Astros in seven games. 

Can the baseball world expect anything different in 2018? Let us start with the two teams who did not see playoff action in 2017 and work our way towards the top of the West Division. 

  1. San Diego Padres

The Padres’ biggest addition this offseason was first baseman Eric Hosmer. Hosmer will push Wil Myers to the outfield and begin a formidable core of power hitters with Hunter Renfroe. No significant additions to the pitching staff were made. In a game about scoring runs, this means the Padres may save a few runs with Hosmer’s multiple Gold Glove awards and score a few more runs with his Silver Slugger award in tow. Meaning, the Padres will fight for fourth or fifth place in the West, but have an extreme amount of talent in their farm system with MacKenzie Gore. LHP, Cal Quantrill; RHP, Luis Urias; SS/2B, Fernando Tatis Jr.; SS, and Anderson Espinoza, RHP, ready to move up soon. 

  1. San Francisco Giants

In contrast to the Padres, the Giants have given away a significant amount of prospects in exchange for Major League-ready talent. Specifically, the Giants landed outfielder Andrew McCutchen and third baseman Evan Longoria. The Giants also signed free agent left-handed reliever Tony Watson, who was with the Dodgers in 2017. The Giants’ lone remaining top prospect is first baseman/outfielder Chris Shaw. With some health, the Giants suffered a lot of injuries last year, they have a good core and could compete for the next two years with Longoria and McCutchen. However, age will be an issue on this year’s team. They will likely land in fourth or fifth place.

  1. Colorado Rockies

The Rockies return with the same team in 2018, replacing former closer Greg Holland with former Chicago Cubs closer Wade Davis. The Rockies have a solid core of offense and pitching, but like every other Rockies team in Coors Field, they will struggle to keep the ball in the park and/or in an outfielder’s glove. The Rockies will fight for second or third place in the division, possibly overtaking the Diamondbacks. 

  1. Arizona Diamondbacks

The Diamondbacks lost J.D. Martinez to free agency and that is a huge offensive loss. The team added Japanese reliever/closer Yoshihisa Hirano; outfielders Jarrod Dyson and Steven Souza, Jr., and catcher Alex Avila. The Diamondbacks will have one of the deepest benches in the West and they return all of their major pitching contributors, healthy, plus a healthy star-outfielder in A.J. Pollock. The Diamondbacks and the Rockies are the biggest threats to challenge the Dodgers, however, the Diamondbacks lack of farm depth may come back to hurt them as the season plays on into the long days of summer. 

  1. Los Angeles Dodgers 

The Dodgers have one of the the highest payrolls in baseball, but also one of the best farm systems, deepest benches, pitching staffs, outfield depth and experience in the recent playoffs, having claimed five straight division titles. Subject to some major injuries and player losses, the Dodgers will repeat as National League West and League Champions and should challenge one of the top American League teams for the World Series title. Consider this: the Dodgers sixth, seventh, eighth, ninth and tenth starting pitchers include Ross Stripling, Walker Buehler, Julio Urias (when he returns), Brock Stewart and Wilmer Font. Their outfielder bench consists of Joc Pederson with Matt Kemp, likely starting in left field. The core of Corey Seager, Justin Turner, Cody Bellinger, Yasiel Puig, Austin Barnes/Yasmani Grandal and Chris Taylor, are All-Star-caliber players young, or in their prime. The 2018 Los Angeles Dodgers have an embarrassment of riches and will look to repeat as National West Champions in 2018. 

No collusion confusion: Three reasons why MLB did NOT collude this offseason

From Judge and former Commissioner Kenesaw Mountain Landis to Curt Flood, organized baseball has a storied history as well as a complicated one when it comes to player rights and team control. Baseball players have gone from Elysian Fields to Sandlots to beautifully constructed ballparks as a place to practice and perfect their craft. In the past, the clubs essentially controlled baseball players indefinitely, while Justice Oliver Wendell Holmes secured organized baseball’s antitrust exemption and Curt Flood along with Marvin Miller challenged the status quo. (Federal Base Ball Club of Baltimore, Inc. v. National League of Professional Base Ball Clubs et al., 259 U.S. 200 (1922); Flood v. Kuhn, 407 U.S. 258 (1972).

 

In February 2018, the Major League Baseball Players Association filed a grievance against the Miami Marlins, Oakland Athletics, Pittsburgh Pirates and Tampa Bay Rays alleging these specific franchises had not used their revenue-sharing money to advance team salary through the purchase of available free agent contracts during the offseason. While the facts of that matter are yet to be argued and decided, one thing is certain; Major League Baseball did not collude this offseason in neglecting to sign available free agents. Here are the three reasons why.

  1. Market Analytics 

Made popular by Moneyball via author Michael Lewis, Athletic’s front office executive Billy Beane and actor Brad Pitt, baseball teams have invested heavily into front office talent with mathematics and economics degrees. Major League clubs got smart by looking to analytics to determine a player’s performance and potential by looking at different statistics in an effort to draft, control and trade for young, inexpensive talent. In a reach to the past, teams have realized that to survive season after season, they must have deep farm systems as a foundation. Money does not buy everything and never has, especially in baseball.

  1. Luxury Tax Changes with the New CBA

Per Maury Brown with Forbes.com:

Luxury Tax offenders and the draft: Beginning in 2018, clubs with a payroll $40 million or more above the Tax Threshold shall have their highest selection in the next Rule 4 Draft moved back 10 places, except that the top six selections will be protected and those Clubs will have their 2nd highest selection moved back 10 places.”

With the above in mind, nothing motivates a club more to keep its salary under a certain point than being taxed at a higher rate and losing your place in one type of draft or another.

  1. 2019 Free Agent Class

Knowing that a club would want additional resources to pay for its developing players in its own farm system as they approach free agency and that the club would be subject to higher tax penalties for multiple years of non-compliance playing above the threshold, it makes sense clubs would reserve resources for the 2019 free agent class that includes Bryce Harper, Clayton Kershaw, Manny Machado and Josh Donaldson, among many more.

The market generally drives the cost of talent, not collusion.